Eagles @ Buccaneers
Eagles
BuccaneersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Eagles 33-16 at home. The market closed with Eagles at -115 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Eagles betting trends · Buccaneers betting trends · all NFL games
Eagles vs Buccaneers betting splits
Where was the money on Eagles vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles | 50% | 32% | -1 (-110) |
| Buccaneers | 50% | 68% | +1 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 87% | 82% | O 42.5 (-111) |
| Under | 13% | 18% | U 42.5 (-109) |
The Eagles held 50% of spread tickets but only 32% of the money; 68% of spread money was on the Buccaneers with 50% of tickets, so the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
87% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Eagles vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Buccaneers) | +1.5 | +1 | -0.5 |
| Total | 47 | 42.5 | -4.5 |
The Eagles opened -1.5 and closed -1, a 0.5-point move toward the Buccaneers.
The total opened 47 and closed 42.5, a 4.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Eagles vs Buccaneers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Buccaneers (Buccaneers +1.5 to Buccaneers +1), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 50% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 4.5 points toward the under (47 to 42.5) even though 82% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 18% of the money and 13% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.