Rams @ Bears
Rams
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bears beat the Rams 24-18 at home. The market closed with Rams at +140 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Rams betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Rams vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Rams vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rams | 77% | 71% | +3.5 (-111) |
| Bears | 23% | 29% | -3.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 90% | 88% | O 40.5 (-108) |
| Under | 10% | 12% | U 40.5 (-112) |
77% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Rams, so the Rams drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
90% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Rams vs Bears?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | -1.5 | -3.5 | -2 |
| Total | 47 | 40.5 | -6.5 |
The Bears opened -1.5 and closed -3.5, a 2-point move toward the Bears.
The total opened 47 and closed 40.5, a 6.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Rams vs Bears line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Bears (Bears -1.5 to Bears -3.5) even though 71% of the spread money sits on the Rams; the Bears hold 29% of the money and 23% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 6.5 points toward the under (47 to 40.5) even though 88% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 12% of the money and 10% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.