Steelers @ Colts
Steelers
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Steelers 27-24 at home. The market closed with Steelers at -135 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 58% | 48% | -2.5 (-117) |
| Colts | 42% | 52% | +2.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 74% | O 41 (-110) |
| Under | 15% | 26% | U 41 (-110) |
The Steelers held 58% of spread tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of spread money was on the Colts with 42% of tickets, so the average Colts bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Colts?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | -0.5 | +2.5 | +3 |
| Total | 44.5 | 41 | -3.5 |
The Colts opened -0.5 and closed +2.5, a 3-point move toward the Steelers.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 41, a 3.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Colts line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Steelers (Colts -0.5 to Colts +2.5) even though 52% of the spread money sits on the Colts; the Steelers hold 48% of the money and 58% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 3.5 points toward the under (44.5 to 41) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.