Commanders @ Cardinals
Commanders
CardinalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Commanders beat the Cardinals 42-14 on the road. The market closed with Commanders at +155 on the moneyline and the total at 49. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Commanders betting trends · Cardinals betting trends · all NFL games
Commanders vs Cardinals betting splits
Where was the money on Commanders vs Cardinals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Commanders | 53% | 43% | +3.5 (-112) |
| Cardinals | 47% | 57% | -3.5 (-107) | |
| Total | Over | 88% | 90% | O 49 (-110) |
| Under | 12% | 10% | U 49 (-110) |
The Commanders held 53% of spread tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of spread money was on the Cardinals with 47% of tickets, so the average Cardinals bet was larger.
88% of total tickets and 90% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Commanders vs Cardinals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cardinals) | -2 | -3.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 45 | 49 | +4 |
The Cardinals opened -2 and closed -3.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total opened 45 and closed 49, a 4-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Commanders vs Cardinals line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Cardinals (Cardinals -2 to Cardinals -3.5), the side holding 57% of the spread money and 47% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 4 points toward the over (45 to 49), the side holding 90% of the total money and 88% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.