Browns @ Raiders
Browns
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Raiders beat the Browns 20-16 at home. The market closed with Browns at -150 on the moneyline and the total at 37. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 50% | 48% | -3 (-112) |
| Raiders | 50% | 52% | +3 (-107) | |
| Total | Over | 91% | 88% | O 37 (-108) |
| Under | 9% | 12% | U 37 (-111) |
The Browns held 50% of spread tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of spread money was on the Raiders with 50% of tickets, so the average Raiders bet was larger.
91% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Raiders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | +1.5 | +3 | +1.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 37 | -6.5 |
The Browns opened -1.5 and closed -3, a 1.5-point move toward the Browns.
The total opened 43.5 and closed 37, a 6.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Browns (Raiders +1.5 to Raiders +3) even though 52% of the spread money sits on the Raiders; the Browns hold 48% of the money and 50% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 6.5 points toward the under (43.5 to 37) even though 88% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 12% of the money and 9% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.