Bills @ Ravens
Bills
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Bills 35-10 at home. The market closed with Bills at +125 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bills betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Bills vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Bills vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bills | 71% | 67% | +3 (-108) |
| Ravens | 29% | 33% | -3 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 84% | O 47.5 (-109) |
| Under | 22% | 16% | U 47.5 (-111) |
71% of spread tickets and 67% of spread money were on the Bills, so the Bills drew more tickets than money and the average Ravens bet was larger.
78% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bills vs Ravens?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 | 0 |
The Ravens opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 47.5 and closed 47.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bills vs Ravens line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Ravens -3) even with 67% of the spread money on the Bills. The total did not move from its opening number (47.5) even with 84% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.