Titans @ Dolphins
Titans
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Titans beat the Dolphins 31-12 on the road. The market closed with Titans at +115 on the moneyline and the total at 37.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 4 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 49% | 25% | +2.5 (-100) |
| Dolphins | 51% | 75% | -2.5 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 75% | O 37.5 (-107) |
| Under | 20% | 25% | U 37.5 (-112) |
51% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
80% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Dolphins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | -6.5 | -2.5 | +4 |
| Total | 46 | 37.5 | -8.5 |
The Dolphins opened -6.5 and closed -2.5, a 4-point move toward the Titans.
The total opened 46 and closed 37.5, a 8.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Dolphins line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the Titans (Dolphins -6.5 to Dolphins -2.5) even though 75% of the spread money sits on the Dolphins; the Titans hold 25% of the money and 49% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 8.5 points toward the under (46 to 37.5) even though 75% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 25% of the money and 20% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.