Panthers @ Bears
Panthers
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bears beat the Panthers 36-10 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +155 on the moneyline and the total at 40. This was an NFL 2024 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 41% | 35% | +4 (-109) |
| Bears | 59% | 65% | -4 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 81% | 59% | O 40 (-112) |
| Under | 19% | 41% | U 40 (-109) |
59% of spread tickets and 65% of spread money were on the Bears, so the average Bears bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
81% of total tickets and 59% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Bears?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | -5.5 | -4 | +1.5 |
| Total | 42 | 40 | -2 |
The Bears opened -5.5 and closed -4, a 1.5-point move toward the Panthers.
The total opened 42 and closed 40, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Bears line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Panthers (Bears -5.5 to Bears -4) even though 65% of the spread money sits on the Bears; the Panthers hold 35% of the money and 41% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (42 to 40) even though 59% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 41% of the money and 19% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.