Raiders @ Broncos
Raiders
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Raiders 34-18 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +130 on the moneyline and the total at 36. This was an NFL 2024 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 55% | 40% | +3 (-110) |
| Broncos | 45% | 60% | -3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 71% | O 36 (-112) |
| Under | 17% | 29% | U 36 (-109) |
The Raiders held 55% of spread tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of spread money was on the Broncos with 45% of tickets, so the average Broncos bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Broncos?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | -1 | -3 | -2 |
| Total | 41 | 36 | -5 |
The Broncos opened -1 and closed -3, a 2-point move toward the Broncos.
The total opened 41 and closed 36, a 5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Broncos line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Broncos (Broncos -1 to Broncos -3), the side holding 60% of the spread money and 45% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 5 points toward the under (41 to 36) even though 71% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 29% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.