Cardinals @ 49ers
Cardinals
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cardinals beat the 49ers 24-23 on the road. The market closed with Cardinals at +295 on the moneyline and the total at 49. This was an NFL 2024 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cardinals betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Cardinals vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Cardinals vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cardinals | 47% | 44% | +7.5 (-118) |
| 49ers | 53% | 56% | -7.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 78% | 73% | O 49 (-108) |
| Under | 22% | 27% | U 49 (-111) |
53% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Cardinals bet.
78% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cardinals vs 49ers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -9.5 | -7.5 | +2 |
| Total | 47 | 49 | +2 |
The 49ers opened -9.5 and closed -7.5, a 2-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total opened 47 and closed 49, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cardinals vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 2 points toward the Cardinals (49ers -9.5 to 49ers -7.5) even though 56% of the spread money sits on the 49ers; the Cardinals hold 44% of the money and 47% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the over (47 to 49), the side holding 73% of the total money and 78% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.