Packers @ Rams
Packers
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Rams 24-19 on the road. The market closed with Packers at -155 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 61% | 46% | -3 (-110) |
| Rams | 39% | 54% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 84% | O 49.5 (-110) |
| Under | 25% | 16% | U 49.5 (-110) |
The Packers held 61% of spread tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of spread money was on the Rams with 39% of tickets, so the average Rams bet was larger.
75% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Rams?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -1.5 | +3 | +4.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 49.5 | +1 |
The Rams opened -1.5 and closed +3, a 4.5-point move toward the Packers.
The total opened 48.5 and closed 49.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Packers (Rams -1.5 to Rams +3) even though 54% of the spread money sits on the Rams; the Packers hold 46% of the money and 61% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (48.5 to 49.5), the side holding 84% of the total money and 75% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.