Cowboys @ Steelers
Cowboys
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cowboys beat the Steelers 20-17 on the road. The market closed with Cowboys at +110 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2024 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 63% | 70% | +2.5 (-108) |
| Steelers | 37% | 30% | -2.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 72% | 69% | O 44 (-109) |
| Under | 28% | 31% | U 44 (-112) |
63% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Cowboys, so the average Cowboys bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
72% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Steelers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +1.5 | -2.5 | -4 |
| Total | 43 | 44 | +1 |
The Cowboys opened -1.5 and closed +2.5, a 4-point move toward the Steelers.
The total opened 43 and closed 44, a 1-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the Steelers (Steelers +1.5 to Steelers -2.5) even though 70% of the spread money sits on the Cowboys; the Steelers hold 30% of the money and 37% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (43 to 44), the side holding 69% of the total money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.