Saints @ Chiefs
Saints
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Saints 26-13 at home. The market closed with Saints at +190 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Saints betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Saints vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Saints vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints | 59% | 64% | +5.5 (-112) |
| Chiefs | 41% | 36% | -5.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 82% | 76% | O 43.5 (-108) |
| Under | 18% | 24% | U 43.5 (-110) |
59% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money were on the Saints, so the average Saints bet was larger than the average Chiefs bet.
82% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Saints vs Chiefs?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -8 | -5.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 43.5 | -1 |
The Chiefs opened -8 and closed -5.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Saints.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 43.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Saints vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Saints (Chiefs -8 to Chiefs -5.5), the side holding 64% of the spread money and 59% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (44.5 to 43.5) even though 76% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 24% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.