49ers @ Seahawks
49ers
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Seahawks 36-24 on the road. The market closed with 49ers at -185 on the moneyline and the total at 49. This was an NFL 2024 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 70% | 77% | -4 (-109) |
| Seahawks | 30% | 23% | +4 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 69% | 65% | O 49 (-110) |
| Under | 31% | 35% | U 49 (-110) |
70% of spread tickets and 77% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Seahawks bet.
69% of total tickets and 65% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | +5 | +4 | -1 |
| Total | 46.5 | 49 | +2.5 |
The 49ers opened -5 and closed -4, a 1-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 49, a 2.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Seahawks line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Seahawks (Seahawks +5 to Seahawks +4) even though 77% of the spread money sits on the 49ers; the Seahawks hold 23% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2.5 points toward the over (46.5 to 49), the side holding 65% of the total money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.