Browns @ Eagles
Browns
EaglesArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Browns 20-16 at home. The market closed with Browns at +340 on the moneyline and the total at 42. This was an NFL 2024 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Eagles betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Eagles betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Eagles?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 38% | 34% | +8 (-109) |
| Eagles | 62% | 66% | -8 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 71% | O 42 (-110) |
| Under | 24% | 29% | U 42 (-110) |
62% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
76% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Eagles?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Eagles) | -3 | -8 | -5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 42 | -3.5 |
The Eagles opened -3 and closed -8, a 5-point move toward the Eagles.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 42, a 3.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Eagles line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Eagles (Eagles -3 to Eagles -8), the side holding 66% of the spread money and 62% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3.5 points toward the under (45.5 to 42) even though 71% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 29% of the money and 24% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.