Colts @ Titans
Colts
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Titans 20-17 on the road. The market closed with Colts at +110 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 72% | 75% | +2.5 (-111) |
| Titans | 28% | 25% | -2.5 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 74% | O 41.5 (-112) |
| Under | 20% | 26% | U 41.5 (-108) |
72% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Colts, so the average Colts bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
80% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Titans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | +1.5 | -2.5 | -4 |
| Total | 44.5 | 41.5 | -3 |
The Colts opened -1.5 and closed +2.5, a 4-point move toward the Titans.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 41.5, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Titans line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the Titans (Titans +1.5 to Titans -2.5) even though 75% of the spread money sits on the Colts; the Titans hold 25% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 3 points toward the under (44.5 to 41.5) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 20% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.