Steelers @ Raiders
Steelers
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Raiders 32-13 on the road. The market closed with Steelers at -180 on the moneyline and the total at 37. This was an NFL 2024 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 74% | 67% | -3.5 (-111) |
| Raiders | 26% | 33% | +3.5 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 70% | O 37 (-108) |
| Under | 17% | 30% | U 37 (-111) |
74% of spread tickets and 67% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 70% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Raiders?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | +1 | +3.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 42 | 37 | -5 |
The Steelers opened -1 and closed -3.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Steelers.
The total opened 42 and closed 37, a 5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Steelers (Raiders +1 to Raiders +3.5), the side holding 67% of the spread money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 5 points toward the under (42 to 37) even though 70% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 30% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.