Chargers @ Broncos
Chargers
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Broncos 23-16 on the road. The market closed with Chargers at -145 on the moneyline and the total at 37. This was an NFL 2024 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 40% | 51% | -3 (-105) |
| Broncos | 60% | 49% | +3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 74% | O 37 (-109) |
| Under | 21% | 26% | U 37 (-112) |
The Broncos held 60% of spread tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of spread money was on the Chargers with 40% of tickets, so the average Chargers bet was larger.
79% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Broncos?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 43 | 37 | -6 |
The Chargers opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 43 and closed 37, a 6-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Broncos line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Broncos +3) even with 51% of the spread money on the Chargers. The total moved 6 points toward the under (43 to 37) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.