Cardinals @ Dolphins
Cardinals
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cardinals beat the Dolphins 28-27 on the road. The market closed with Cardinals at +190 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cardinals betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Cardinals vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Cardinals vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cardinals | 50% | 44% | +5 (-108) |
| Dolphins | 50% | 56% | -5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 63% | O 46.5 (-110) |
| Under | 27% | 37% | U 46.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | 23% | 53% | +190 |
| Dolphins | 77% | 47% | -230 |
The Cardinals held 50% of spread tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of spread money was on the Dolphins with 50% of tickets, so the average Dolphins bet was larger.
73% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Dolphins held 77% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Cardinals with 23% of tickets, so the average Cardinals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cardinals vs Dolphins?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | -6 | -5 | +1 |
| Total | 48.5 | 46.5 | -2 |
The Dolphins opened -6 and closed -5, a 1-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total opened 48.5 and closed 46.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cardinals vs Dolphins line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Cardinals (Dolphins -6 to Dolphins -5) even though 56% of the spread money sits on the Dolphins; the Cardinals hold 44% of the money and 50% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (48.5 to 46.5) even though 63% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 37% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.