Jets @ Patriots
Jets
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Patriots beat the Jets 25-22 at home. The market closed with Jets at -340 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 77% | 85% | -7 (-112) |
| Patriots | 23% | 15% | +7 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 69% | O 41.5 (-104) |
| Under | 26% | 31% | U 41.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 98% | 89% | -340 |
| Patriots | 2% | 11% | +270 |
77% of spread tickets and 85% of spread money were on the Jets, so the average Jets bet was larger than the average Patriots bet.
74% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
98% of moneyline tickets and 89% of moneyline money were on the Jets, so the Jets drew more tickets than money and the average Patriots bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Patriots?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | +4.5 | +7 | +2.5 |
| Total | 41.5 | 41.5 | 0 |
The Jets opened -4.5 and closed -7, a 2.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total opened 41.5 and closed 41.5: it has not moved.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Patriots line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Jets (Patriots +4.5 to Patriots +7), the side holding 85% of the spread money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from its opening number (41.5) even with 69% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.