Falcons @ Buccaneers
Falcons
BuccaneersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Falcons beat the Buccaneers 31-26 on the road. The market closed with Falcons at -125 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Buccaneers betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Buccaneers betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 62% | 61% | -1.5 (-110) |
| Buccaneers | 38% | 39% | +1.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 82% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 17% | 18% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 60% | 60% | -125 |
| Buccaneers | 40% | 40% | +105 |
62% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
60% of moneyline tickets and 60% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Buccaneers) | -1 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 44 | 47.5 | +3.5 |
The Buccaneers opened -1 and closed +1.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Falcons.
The total opened 44 and closed 47.5, a 3.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Buccaneers line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Falcons (Buccaneers -1 to Buccaneers +1.5), the side holding 61% of the spread money and 62% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3.5 points toward the over (44 to 47.5), the side holding 82% of the total money and 83% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.