Packers @ Jaguars
Packers
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Jaguars 30-27 on the road. The market closed with Packers at -188 on the moneyline and the total at 49. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 80% | 60% | -3.5 (-105) |
| Jaguars | 20% | 40% | +3.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 71% | 75% | O 49 (-108) |
| Under | 29% | 25% | U 49 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 93% | 96% | -188 |
| Jaguars | 7% | 4% | +157 |
80% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
71% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
93% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the average Packers bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Jaguars?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | +1 | +3.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 46 | 49 | +3 |
The Packers opened -1 and closed -3.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Packers.
The total opened 46 and closed 49, a 3-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Jaguars line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Packers (Jaguars +1 to Jaguars +3.5), the side holding 60% of the spread money and 80% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the over (46 to 49), the side holding 75% of the total money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.