Colts @ Texans
Colts
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Colts 23-20 at home. The market closed with Colts at +195 on the moneyline and the total at 45. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 23% | 20% | +5 (-112) |
| Texans | 77% | 80% | -5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 74% | O 45 (-112) |
| Under | 21% | 26% | U 45 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 6% | 5% | +195 |
| Texans | 94% | 95% | -238 |
77% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
79% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 95% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Texans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | -4 | -5 | -1 |
| Total | 48 | 45 | -3 |
The Texans opened -4 and closed -5, a 1-point move toward the Texans.
The total opened 48 and closed 45, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Texans line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Texans (Texans -4 to Texans -5), the side holding 80% of the spread money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (48 to 45) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.