Ravens @ Browns
Ravens
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Ravens 29-24 at home. The market closed with Ravens at -360 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 82% | 79% | -7.5 (-105) |
| Browns | 18% | 21% | +7.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 85% | 88% | O 44.5 (-115) |
| Under | 15% | 12% | U 44.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 99% | 97% | -360 |
| Browns | 1% | 3% | +285 |
82% of spread tickets and 79% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
85% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
99% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Browns?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | +1 | +7.5 | +6.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 44.5 | -1 |
The Ravens opened -1 and closed -7.5, a 6.5-point move toward the Ravens.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 6.5 points toward the Ravens (Browns +1 to Browns +7.5), the side holding 79% of the spread money and 82% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (45.5 to 44.5) even though 88% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 12% of the money and 15% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.