Bills @ Seahawks
Bills
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bills beat the Seahawks 31-10 on the road. The market closed with Bills at -165 on the moneyline and the total at 45.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bills betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Bills vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Bills vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bills | 66% | 54% | -3 (-110) |
| Seahawks | 34% | 46% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 69% | O 45.5 (-105) |
| Under | 17% | 31% | U 45.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Bills | 79% | 85% | -165 |
| Seahawks | 21% | 15% | +138 |
66% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Bills, so the Bills drew more tickets than money and the average Seahawks bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
79% of moneyline tickets and 85% of moneyline money were on the Bills, so the average Bills bet was larger than the average Seahawks bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bills vs Seahawks?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 46.5 | 45.5 | -1 |
The Bills opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 45.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bills vs Seahawks line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Seahawks +3) even with 54% of the spread money on the Bills. The total moved 1 point toward the under (46.5 to 45.5) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.