Saints @ Chargers
Saints
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Saints 26-8 at home. The market closed with Saints at +270 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Saints betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Saints vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Saints vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints | 46% | 47% | +7.5 (-112) |
| Chargers | 54% | 53% | -7.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 52% | O 41 (-112) |
| Under | 27% | 48% | U 41 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Saints | 12% | 21% | +270 |
| Chargers | 88% | 79% | -340 |
54% of spread tickets and 53% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the Chargers drew more tickets than money and the average Saints bet was larger.
73% of total tickets and 52% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
88% of moneyline tickets and 79% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the Chargers drew more tickets than money and the average Saints bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Saints vs Chargers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | -3 | -7.5 | -4.5 |
| Total | 44 | 41 | -3 |
The Chargers opened -3 and closed -7.5, a 4.5-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 44 and closed 41, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Saints vs Chargers line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Chargers (Chargers -3 to Chargers -7.5), the side holding 53% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 3 points toward the under (44 to 41) even though 52% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 48% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.