Panthers @ Broncos
Panthers
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Panthers 28-14 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +549 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 29% | 27% | +13 (-110) |
| Broncos | 71% | 73% | -13 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 47% | O 40.5 (-108) |
| Under | 24% | 53% | U 40.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 5% | 13% | +549 |
| Broncos | 95% | 87% | -797 |
71% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Broncos, so the average Broncos bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
The over held 76% of total tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of total money was on the under with 24% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
95% of moneyline tickets and 87% of moneyline money were on the Broncos, so the Broncos drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Broncos?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | -2.5 | -13 | -10.5 |
| Total | 41 | 40.5 | -0.5 |
The Broncos opened -2.5 and closed -13, a 10.5-point move toward the Broncos.
The total opened 41 and closed 40.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Broncos line move?
The spread moved 10.5 points toward the Broncos (Broncos -2.5 to Broncos -13), the side holding 73% of the spread money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (41 to 40.5), the side holding 53% of the total money and 24% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.