Texans @ Jets
Texans
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jets beat the Texans 21-13 at home. The market closed with Texans at +124 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 80% | 75% | +2.5 (+100) |
| Jets | 20% | 25% | -2.5 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 72% | 66% | O 43.5 (-110) |
| Under | 28% | 34% | U 43.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 39% | 86% | +124 |
| Jets | 61% | 14% | -147 |
80% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
72% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Jets held 61% of moneyline tickets but only 14% of the money; 86% of moneyline money was on the Texans with 39% of tickets, so the average Texans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Jets?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | -2.5 | -2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 45 | 43.5 | -1.5 |
The Jets opened -2.5 and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 45 and closed 43.5, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Jets line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Jets -2.5) even with 75% of the spread money on the Texans. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (45 to 43.5) even though 66% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 34% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.