Raiders @ Bengals
Raiders
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Raiders 41-24 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +320 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 27% | 32% | +8 (-110) |
| Bengals | 73% | 68% | -8 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 82% | O 44.5 (-112) |
| Under | 24% | 18% | U 44.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 10% | 8% | +320 |
| Bengals | 90% | 92% | -407 |
73% of spread tickets and 68% of spread money were on the Bengals, so the Bengals drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
76% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
90% of moneyline tickets and 92% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Bengals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -7 | -8 | -1 |
| Total | 45 | 44.5 | -0.5 |
The Bengals opened -7 and closed -8, a 1-point move toward the Bengals.
The total opened 45 and closed 44.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Bengals line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Bengals (Bengals -7 to Bengals -8), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (45 to 44.5) even though 82% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 18% of the money and 24% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.