Patriots @ Titans
Patriots
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Titans beat the Patriots 20-17 at home. The market closed with Patriots at +146 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Patriots betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Patriots vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Patriots vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Patriots | 65% | 49% | +3.5 (-115) |
| Titans | 35% | 51% | -3.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 62% | O 38.5 (-110) |
| Under | 26% | 38% | U 38.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Patriots | 36% | 62% | +146 |
| Titans | 64% | 38% | -174 |
The Patriots held 65% of spread tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of spread money was on the Titans with 35% of tickets, so the average Titans bet was larger.
74% of total tickets and 62% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Titans held 64% of moneyline tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of moneyline money was on the Patriots with 36% of tickets, so the average Patriots bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Patriots vs Titans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | -3 | -3.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 41 | 38.5 | -2.5 |
The Titans opened -3 and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Titans.
The total opened 41 and closed 38.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Patriots vs Titans line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Titans (Titans -3 to Titans -3.5), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 35% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (41 to 38.5) even though 62% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 38% of the money and 26% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.