Saints @ Panthers
Saints
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Panthers beat the Saints 23-22 at home. The market closed with Saints at -345 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Saints betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Saints vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Saints vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints | 69% | 64% | -7 (-118) |
| Panthers | 31% | 36% | +7 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 71% | 55% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 29% | 45% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Saints | 87% | 75% | -345 |
| Panthers | 13% | 25% | +275 |
69% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money were on the Saints, so the Saints drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
71% of total tickets and 55% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
87% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the Saints, so the Saints drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Saints vs Panthers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +1 | +7 | +6 |
| Total | 40.5 | 43 | +2.5 |
The Saints opened -1 and closed -7, a 6-point move toward the Saints.
The total opened 40.5 and closed 43, a 2.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Saints vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 6 points toward the Saints (Panthers +1 to Panthers +7), the side holding 64% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the over (40.5 to 43), the side holding 55% of the total money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.