Cowboys @ Falcons
Cowboys
FalconsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Falcons beat the Cowboys 27-21 at home. The market closed with Cowboys at +145 on the moneyline and the total at 52. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Falcons betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Falcons betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Falcons?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 62% | 68% | +3 (-105) |
| Falcons | 38% | 32% | -3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 82% | O 52 (-108) |
| Under | 32% | 18% | U 52 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 29% | 39% | +145 |
| Falcons | 71% | 61% | -168 |
62% of spread tickets and 68% of spread money were on the Cowboys, so the average Cowboys bet was larger than the average Falcons bet.
68% of total tickets and 82% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
71% of moneyline tickets and 61% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Falcons?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Falcons) | +1 | -3 | -4 |
| Total | 48 | 52 | +4 |
The Cowboys opened -1 and closed +3, a 4-point move toward the Falcons.
The total opened 48 and closed 52, a 4-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Falcons line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the Falcons (Falcons +1 to Falcons -3) even though 68% of the spread money sits on the Cowboys; the Falcons hold 32% of the money and 38% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 4 points toward the over (48 to 52), the side holding 82% of the total money and 68% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.