Chargers @ Browns
Chargers
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Browns 27-10 on the road. The market closed with Chargers at -130 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 41% | 34% | -2 (-110) |
| Browns | 59% | 66% | +2 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 63% | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Under | 25% | 37% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 59% | 65% | -130 |
| Browns | 41% | 35% | +110 |
59% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Browns, so the average Browns bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
75% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
59% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Browns?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | -3.5 | +2 | +5.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 41.5 | -2 |
The Browns opened -3.5 and closed +2, a 5.5-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 43.5 and closed 41.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 5.5 points toward the Chargers (Browns -3.5 to Browns +2) even though 66% of the spread money sits on the Browns; the Chargers hold 34% of the money and 41% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (43.5 to 41.5) even though 63% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 37% of the money and 25% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.