Colts @ Vikings
Colts
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Colts 21-13 at home. The market closed with Colts at +215 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 31% | 27% | +6 (-110) |
| Vikings | 69% | 73% | -6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 81% | 84% | O 47 (-110) |
| Under | 19% | 16% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 6% | 3% | +215 |
| Vikings | 94% | 97% | -265 |
69% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
81% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
94% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Vikings?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | -1 | -6 | -5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 47 | +0.5 |
The Vikings opened -1 and closed -6, a 5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 47, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 5 points toward the Vikings (Vikings -1 to Vikings -6), the side holding 73% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (46.5 to 47), the side holding 84% of the total money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.