Commanders @ Giants
Commanders
GiantsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Commanders beat the Giants 27-22 on the road. The market closed with Commanders at -207 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Commanders betting trends · Giants betting trends · all NFL games
Commanders vs Giants betting splits
Where was the money on Commanders vs Giants?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Commanders | 81% | 73% | -4.5 (-108) |
| Giants | 19% | 27% | +4.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 73% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 24% | 27% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Commanders | 92% | 96% | -207 |
| Giants | 8% | 4% | +175 |
81% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Commanders, so the Commanders drew more tickets than money and the average Giants bet was larger.
76% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
92% of moneyline tickets and 96% of moneyline money were on the Commanders, so the average Commanders bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Commanders vs Giants?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Giants) | -1.5 | +4.5 | +6 |
| Total | 42 | 44.5 | +2.5 |
The Giants opened -1.5 and closed +4.5, a 6-point move toward the Commanders.
The total opened 42 and closed 44.5, a 2.5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Commanders vs Giants line move?
The spread moved 6 points toward the Commanders (Giants -1.5 to Giants +4.5), the side holding 73% of the spread money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the over (42 to 44.5), the side holding 73% of the total money and 76% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.