Bears @ Cardinals
Bears
CardinalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cardinals beat the Bears 29-9 at home. The market closed with Bears at +102 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bears betting trends · Cardinals betting trends · all NFL games
Bears vs Cardinals betting splits
Where was the money on Bears vs Cardinals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears | 64% | 72% | +1.5 (-110) |
| Cardinals | 36% | 28% | -1.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 74% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 21% | 26% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bears | 42% | 56% | +102 |
| Cardinals | 58% | 44% | -122 |
64% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Bears, so the average Bears bet was larger than the average Cardinals bet.
79% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Cardinals held 58% of moneyline tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of moneyline money was on the Bears with 42% of tickets, so the average Bears bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bears vs Cardinals?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cardinals) | +1.5 | -1.5 | -3 |
| Total | 46.5 | 44.5 | -2 |
The Bears opened -1.5 and closed +1.5, a 3-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 44.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bears vs Cardinals line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Cardinals (Cardinals +1.5 to Cardinals -1.5) even though 72% of the spread money sits on the Bears; the Cardinals hold 28% of the money and 36% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (46.5 to 44.5) even though 74% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 26% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.