Lions @ Packers
Lions
PackersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Packers 24-14 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -155 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Packers betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Packers betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Packers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 58% | 51% | -3 (-108) |
| Packers | 42% | 49% | +3 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 86% | 88% | O 48 (-110) |
| Under | 14% | 12% | U 48 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 80% | 90% | -155 |
| Packers | 20% | 10% | +130 |
58% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
86% of total tickets and 88% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
80% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Packers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Packers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Packers) | -1.5 | +3 | +4.5 |
| Total | 49 | 48 | -1 |
The Packers opened -1.5 and closed +3, a 4.5-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 49 and closed 48, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Packers line move?
The spread moved 4.5 points toward the Lions (Packers -1.5 to Packers +3), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (49 to 48) even though 88% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 12% of the money and 14% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.