Jaguars @ Eagles
Jaguars
EaglesArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Jaguars 28-23 at home. The market closed with Jaguars at +285 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2024 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jaguars betting trends · Eagles betting trends · all NFL games
Jaguars vs Eagles betting splits
Where was the money on Jaguars vs Eagles?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jaguars | 21% | 27% | +7.5 (-115) |
| Eagles | 79% | 73% | -7.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 84% | O 46 (-110) |
| Under | 17% | 16% | U 46 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jaguars | 8% | 2% | +285 |
| Eagles | 92% | 98% | -360 |
79% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Eagles, so the Eagles drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
83% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
92% of moneyline tickets and 98% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jaguars vs Eagles?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Eagles) | -3.5 | -7.5 | -4 |
| Total | 47 | 46 | -1 |
The Eagles opened -3.5 and closed -7.5, a 4-point move toward the Eagles.
The total opened 47 and closed 46, a 1-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jaguars vs Eagles line move?
The spread moved 4 points toward the Eagles (Eagles -3.5 to Eagles -7.5), the side holding 73% of the spread money and 79% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (47 to 46) even though 84% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 16% of the money and 17% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.