Vikings @ Jaguars
Vikings
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Jaguars 12-7 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -337 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 82% | 84% | -7 (-120) |
| Jaguars | 18% | 16% | +7 (+100) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 63% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 21% | 37% | U 42.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 94% | 94% | -337 |
| Jaguars | 6% | 6% | +270 |
82% of spread tickets and 84% of spread money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
79% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Jaguars?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | -3.5 | +7 | +10.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 42.5 | -2 |
The Jaguars opened -3.5 and closed +7, a 10.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 42.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Jaguars line move?
The spread moved 10.5 points toward the Vikings (Jaguars -3.5 to Jaguars +7), the side holding 84% of the spread money and 82% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the under (44.5 to 42.5) even though 63% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 37% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.