Falcons @ Saints
Falcons
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Saints beat the Falcons 20-17 at home. The market closed with Falcons at -192 on the moneyline and the total at 46.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 81% | 79% | -3.5 (-114) |
| Saints | 19% | 21% | +3.5 (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 81% | 74% | O 46.5 (-108) |
| Under | 19% | 26% | U 46.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 90% | 94% | -192 |
| Saints | 10% | 6% | +160 |
81% of spread tickets and 79% of spread money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Saints bet was larger.
81% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the average Falcons bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Saints?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | +1 | +3.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 44.5 | 46.5 | +2 |
The Falcons opened -1 and closed -3.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Falcons.
The total opened 44.5 and closed 46.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Falcons (Saints +1 to Saints +3.5), the side holding 79% of the spread money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the over (44.5 to 46.5), the side holding 74% of the total money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.