Lions @ Texans
Lions
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Texans 26-23 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -238 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 66% | 61% | -4.5 (-110) |
| Texans | 34% | 39% | +4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 69% | O 49.5 (-112) |
| Under | 20% | 31% | U 49.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 89% | 91% | -238 |
| Texans | 11% | 9% | +195 |
66% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
80% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
89% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Texans?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | -1 | +4.5 | +5.5 |
| Total | 50 | 49.5 | -0.5 |
The Texans opened -1 and closed +4.5, a 5.5-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 50 and closed 49.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Texans line move?
The spread moved 5.5 points toward the Lions (Texans -1 to Texans +4.5), the side holding 61% of the spread money and 66% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (50 to 49.5) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 20% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.