Dolphins @ Rams
Dolphins
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Dolphins beat the Rams 23-15 on the road. The market closed with Dolphins at +117 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 47% | 75% | +2.5 (-102) |
| Rams | 53% | 25% | -2.5 (-118) | |
| Total | Over | 65% | 70% | O 49.5 (-110) |
| Under | 35% | 30% | U 49.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 25% | 13% | +117 |
| Rams | 75% | 87% | -138 |
The Rams held 53% of spread tickets but only 25% of the money; 75% of spread money was on the Dolphins with 47% of tickets, so the average Dolphins bet was larger.
65% of total tickets and 70% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
75% of moneyline tickets and 87% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average Dolphins bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Rams?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -1 | -2.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 49.5 | +2 |
The Rams opened -1 and closed -2.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Rams.
The total opened 47.5 and closed 49.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Rams (Rams -1 to Rams -2.5) even though 75% of the spread money sits on the Dolphins; the Rams hold 25% of the money and 53% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the over (47.5 to 49.5), the side holding 70% of the total money and 65% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.