Commanders @ Eagles
Commanders
EaglesArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Commanders 26-18 at home. The market closed with Commanders at +192 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Commanders betting trends · Eagles betting trends · all NFL games
Commanders vs Eagles betting splits
Where was the money on Commanders vs Eagles?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Commanders | 44% | 38% | +4.5 (-110) |
| Eagles | 56% | 62% | -4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 79% | O 49.5 (-105) |
| Under | 20% | 21% | U 49.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Commanders | 14% | 34% | +192 |
| Eagles | 86% | 66% | -234 |
56% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Commanders bet.
80% of total tickets and 79% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
86% of moneyline tickets and 66% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the Eagles drew more tickets than money and the average Commanders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Commanders vs Eagles?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Eagles) | -7 | -4.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 45.5 | 49.5 | +4 |
The Eagles opened -7 and closed -4.5, a 2.5-point move toward the Commanders.
The total opened 45.5 and closed 49.5, a 4-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Commanders vs Eagles line move?
The spread moved 2.5 points toward the Commanders (Eagles -7 to Eagles -4.5) even though 62% of the spread money sits on the Eagles; the Commanders hold 38% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 4 points toward the over (45.5 to 49.5), the side holding 79% of the total money and 80% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.