Ravens @ Steelers
Ravens
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Ravens 18-16 at home. The market closed with Ravens at -177 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 32% | 25% | -3 (-120) |
| Steelers | 68% | 75% | +3 (+100) | |
| Total | Over | 60% | 66% | O 48 (-112) |
| Under | 40% | 34% | U 48 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 68% | 57% | -177 |
| Steelers | 32% | 43% | +148 |
68% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Ravens bet.
60% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
68% of moneyline tickets and 57% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Steelers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 43 | 48 | +5 |
The Ravens opened -3 and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total opened 43 and closed 48, a 5-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Steelers line move?
The spread did not move from its opening number (Steelers +3) even with 75% of the spread money on the Steelers. The total moved 5 points toward the over (43 to 48), the side holding 66% of the total money and 60% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.