Browns @ Saints
Browns
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Saints beat the Browns 35-14 at home. The market closed with Browns at -117 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 31% | 45% | -1 (-112) |
| Saints | 69% | 55% | +1 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 43% | 51% | O 44 (-110) |
| Under | 57% | 49% | U 44 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 39% | 16% | -117 |
| Saints | 61% | 84% | -102 |
69% of spread tickets and 55% of spread money were on the Saints, so the Saints drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
The under held 57% of total tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of total money was on the over with 43% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
61% of moneyline tickets and 84% of moneyline money were on the Saints, so the average Saints bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Saints?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | +2 | +1 | -1 |
| Total | 42 | 44 | +2 |
The Browns opened -2 and closed -1, a 1-point move toward the Saints.
The total opened 42 and closed 44, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Saints (Saints +2 to Saints +1), the side holding 55% of the spread money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the over (42 to 44), the side holding 51% of the total money and 43% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.