Jaguars @ Lions
Jaguars
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Jaguars 52-6 at home. The market closed with Jaguars at +617 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jaguars betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Jaguars vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Jaguars vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jaguars | 19% | 15% | +14 (-105) |
| Lions | 81% | 85% | -14 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 83% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 24% | 17% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jaguars | 3% | 10% | +617 |
| Lions | 97% | 90% | -924 |
81% of spread tickets and 85% of spread money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
76% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
97% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jaguars vs Lions?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -4 | -14 | -10 |
| Total | 50 | 47.5 | -2.5 |
The Lions opened -4 and closed -14, a 10-point move toward the Lions.
The total opened 50 and closed 47.5, a 2.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jaguars vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 10 points toward the Lions (Lions -4 to Lions -14), the side holding 85% of the spread money and 81% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2.5 points toward the under (50 to 47.5) even though 83% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 17% of the money and 24% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.