Seahawks @ 49ers
Seahawks
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the 49ers 20-17 on the road. The market closed with Seahawks at +215 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Seahawks betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Seahawks vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Seahawks vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Seahawks | 35% | 34% | +6 (-110) |
| 49ers | 65% | 66% | -6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 65% | O 48.5 (-108) |
| Under | 34% | 35% | U 48.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Seahawks | 9% | 9% | +215 |
| 49ers | 91% | 91% | -265 |
65% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Seahawks bet.
66% of total tickets and 65% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
91% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, with money and tickets in step.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Seahawks vs 49ers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -9 | -6 | +3 |
| Total | 46.5 | 48.5 | +2 |
The 49ers opened -9 and closed -6, a 3-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total opened 46.5 and closed 48.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Seahawks vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Seahawks (49ers -9 to 49ers -6) even though 66% of the spread money sits on the 49ers; the Seahawks hold 34% of the money and 35% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the over (46.5 to 48.5), the side holding 65% of the total money and 66% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.