Bengals @ Chargers
Bengals
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Bengals 34-27 at home. The market closed with Bengals at -112 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 81% | 81% | +1 (-118) |
| Chargers | 19% | 19% | -1 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 63% | O 48 (-108) |
| Under | 38% | 37% | U 48 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 54% | 91% | -112 |
| Chargers | 46% | 9% | -118 |
81% of spread tickets and 81% of spread money were on the Bengals, with money and tickets in step.
62% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
54% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs Chargers?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | +2 | -1 | -3 |
| Total | 45 | 48 | +3 |
The Bengals opened -2 and closed +1, a 3-point move toward the Chargers.
The total opened 45 and closed 48, a 3-point move toward the over.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs Chargers line move?
The spread moved 3 points toward the Chargers (Chargers +2 to Chargers -1) even though 81% of the spread money sits on the Bengals; the Chargers hold 19% of the money and 19% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 3 points toward the over (45 to 48), the side holding 63% of the total money and 62% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.