Colts @ Jets
Colts
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Jets 28-27 on the road. The market closed with Colts at +178 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 59% | 60% | +4.5 (-115) |
| Jets | 41% | 40% | -4.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 65% | 42% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 35% | 58% | U 43 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 16% | 44% | +178 |
| Jets | 84% | 56% | -218 |
59% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Colts, so the average Colts bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
The over held 65% of total tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of total money was on the under with 35% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
84% of moneyline tickets and 56% of moneyline money were on the Jets, so the Jets drew more tickets than money and the average Colts bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Jets?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | -4 | -4.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 46 | 43 | -3 |
The Jets opened -4 and closed -4.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total opened 46 and closed 43, a 3-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Jets line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Jets (Jets -4 to Jets -4.5) even though 60% of the spread money sits on the Colts; the Jets hold 40% of the money and 41% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 3 points toward the under (46 to 43), the side holding 58% of the total money and 35% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.