Texans @ Cowboys
Texans
CowboysArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Cowboys 34-10 on the road. The market closed with Texans at -377 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2024 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the opening line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Cowboys betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Cowboys betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Cowboys?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 72% | 64% | -7 (-110) |
| Cowboys | 28% | 36% | +7 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 50% | 45% | O 41.5 (-105) |
| Under | 50% | 55% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 94% | 87% | -377 |
| Cowboys | 6% | 13% | +300 |
72% of spread tickets and 64% of spread money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
The over held 50% of total tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of total money was on the under with 50% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 87% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Cowboys?
| Market | Opening | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cowboys) | -3 | +7 | +10 |
| Total | 49 | 41.5 | -7.5 |
The Cowboys opened -3 and closed +7, a 10-point move toward the Texans.
The total opened 49 and closed 41.5, a 7.5-point move toward the under.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Cowboys line move?
The spread moved 10 points toward the Texans (Cowboys -3 to Cowboys +7), the side holding 64% of the spread money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 7.5 points toward the under (49 to 41.5), the side holding 55% of the total money and 50% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.